Stock returns are lower and volatility is higher when Congress is in session. This "Congressional Effect" can be quite large - more than 90% of the capital gains over the life of the DJIA have come on days when Congress is out of session. The Effect varies systematically with the public's opinion of Congress: returns are lower and volatility higher when a relatively unpopular Congress is active.It suggests that government activity increases regulatory uncertainty. Hat tip to Freakonomics.
Monday, August 9, 2010
Congress is Bad for Business
Or at least when it is in session:
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